Robinhood · Long-term strategy
The Three Arcs
Vlad Tenev's framework for the next decade — three overlapping arcs that compound like interest, each one amplifying the next.
The idea
One strategy,
three horizons.
The Three Arcs aren't sequential steps. They advance in parallel and reinforce one another — the first generates fuel, the second deepens loyalty, the third scales it worldwide.
Like compound interest, the overlap is the point. Each arc makes the next one bigger.
Arc 01 · Now — the fuel arc
Be the #1 platform for active traders.
Win the most sophisticated, high-frequency traders with best-in-class tools and relentless product velocity. This is the fuel arc — it generates the revenue and resources that power everything after it.
- 24/7 Trading
- Options
- Futures
- Event Contracts
- Robinhood Legend
- Advanced Orders
Peaking now — fastest arc to show results.
Arc 02 · ~5 years
Win the next generation's wallet share.
Move beyond trading to become the one-stop platform for every financial need of Millennials, Gen Z and beyond — capturing the multi-trillion-dollar wealth transfer between generations.
- Wealth Management
- Banking
- Credit Card
- Lending
- IRAs
- Advisory
- Robinhood Gold
Stickiness through Gold — a subscription that compounds retention.
Arc 03 · ~10 years
Become the #1 global financial ecosystem.
Expand from U.S. retail to the world, and from retail to institutions. Build the underlying infrastructure for global finance itself.
- International · EU · UK · APAC · SG
- Institutional / B2B
- Blockchain & Tokenization
- Owned Infrastructure
Retail → institutional. Domestic → global.
The compounding
Overlapping,
not sequential.
The arcs run at once and strengthen each other. Arc I funds. Arc II retains. Arc III scales. Together they compound — the flywheel of Robinhood's next decade.
- Arc IFuels
- Arc IIRetains
- Arc IIIScales
The horizons
Three arcs, advancing together.
-
Now
Active Traders
The fuel arc generates revenue and resources at its peak.
-
~5 years
Wallet Share
Depth across banking, wealth and credit locks in loyalty.
-
~10 years
Global Ecosystem
Retail and institutional, worldwide, on owned infrastructure.